MARKET REPORT December
31, 2013
The Markets had a quiet and modestly corrective session
yesterday as it spent the session in a capped range and finally ended the day
with modest losses on lower volumes. The Markets opened on a positive note and
soon gave its day’s high of 6344.05 in the early minutes of the trade. After
trading positive for a brief period, the Markets pared its gains in the late
morning trade and dipped into the green. Thereafter, the Markets spent the
entire session in a very narrow range with capped losses. In the end, it saw
some more paring of gains as it gave the intraday low of 6273.15. It recovered
from those levels and finally ended the day at 6291.10, posting a modest net
loss of 22.70 points or 0.36% while forming a higher top but lower bottom on
the Daily High Low Charts.
MARKET TREND FOR TODAY
Today’s analysis for the Markets remains more or less on
similar lines like yesterday. Today, we are expected to see a modestly positive
opening in the Markets. However, given the year-end holidays, the participation
in the Markets is likely to remain lower and we might again see a range bound
session with low volumes.
The levels of 6340 and 6365 would act as immediate
resistance levels on the Daily Charts while the levels of 6260 and 6225 would
act as immediate supports.
The RSI—Relative Strength Index on the Daily Chart is
56.6628 and it continues to remain neutral as it shows no bullish or bearish
divergences or any failure swings. The
Daily MACD continues to remain bullish is at trades above its signal line.
On the derivative front, the NIFTY January futures have shed
over 4.95 lakh shares or 2.51% in Open Interest. This is little negative as it
shows that some profit taking was done yesterday which has resulted in shedding
of open interest.
As we have often mentioned in our previous editions of Daily
Market Trend Guide, that the patterns on the Daily Chart remain intact. The
Markets see no structural weakness as it continues to trade above all of its
DMAs at present. However, after yesterday’s session the levels of 6344 have
become an intermediate top for the Markets. In order to continue with the up
move, it would be very important for the Markets to move past the levels of
6345 and sustain above that.
All and all, we will see modestly positive opening but the
overall session is likely to remain range bound with lower volumes. The levels
of 6345 would be critical to watch for
as it would act as intermediate top in very short term. Markets will have to
move past that level before it continues with its up move. However, the overall
trend remans intact. Any downside should be used to make selective purchases.
Stock specific and cautiously positive outlook is advised for today.
Milan Vaishnav,
Consulting Technical Analyst,
+91-98250-16331
